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Table 2 Association Between Cumulative Excess Firearm Purchasing and Interpersonal Firearm Violence, 2018–2020

From: Firearm purchasing and firearm violence during the coronavirus pandemic in the United States: a cross-sectional study

 

Unadjusted

Adjusted

RR

95% CI

RR

95% CI

Non-DV-related firearm violencea

 1 excess firearm purchase per 100 population

  April

0.81

0.63

1.01

0.76

0.50

1.02

  May

1.04

0.88

1.22

0.99

0.72

1.25

  June

1.17

1.00

1.35

1.10

0.93

1.32

  July

1.14

1.03

1.25

0.98

0.85

1.12

DV-related firearm violenceb

 1 excess firearm purchase per 100 population

  April

1.66

0.94

3.00

2.60

1.32

5.93

  May

1.47

1.14

1.92

1.79

1.19

2.91

  June

1.21

0.90

1.70

1.03

0.66

1.52

  July

1.09

0.94

1.29

0.89

0.66

1.12

  1. Results are from negative binomial regression models with the log of the population as an offset. All models include indicators for states, year, and month
  2. aThe outcome is counts of non-domestic violence-related firearm injuries (nonfatal and fatal). Adjusted estimates are from a model that additionally includes: a pre-post dummy for March 2020, COVID-19 cases and deaths, mobility, unemployment, baseline firearm purchasing rates, police violence during the George Floyd protests, stay-at-home orders, and average temperature
  3. bThe outcome is counts of domestic violence-related firearm injuries (nonfatal and fatal). Adjusted estimates are from a model that additionally includes: a pre-post dummy for March 2020, COVID-19 cases and deaths, mobility, unemployment, baseline firearm purchasing rates, and stay-at-home orders
  4. DV domestic violence, RR rate ratio, CI confidence interval